上海交大赵大海接受央视专访：上海的精准防控值得全国各地借鉴
上海交通大学国际与公共事务学院教授、博士生导师，上海交通大学-耶鲁大学卫生政策联合研究中心执行主任赵大海，自新冠肺炎疫情暴发以来，对于新冠疫情暴发、防控以及卫生政策第69次接受中央电视台专访，也是第118次接受央视、上视专访。2022年1月14日，赵大海在中央电视台英语频道的《中国24小时》节目，就上海、天津的新冠疫情防控，以及春节假期的疫情防控压力等话题进行了解释和评论。现将访谈内容翻译并摘录如下。
主持人：上海一家20平方米左右的奶茶店现在被列为中风险区域。这对于中国的新冠疫情防控策略意味着什么？
赵大海：对于所谓最小的中风险区域，这反映了上海等一些城市已经建立起了一套科学、精准和快速的新冠疫情应对机制。在该机制的指导下，一旦出现一个新的新冠病例，相关机构将会在第一时间发现该病例。即使不能在第一时间发现该病例，该机制也可以确保在疫情局部散在暴发的最早期发现新冠病毒传播的路径和确定出病例的源头。因此，目前我国的部分城市已完全有信心和能力通过科学和精准的防控策略战略而不是大规模核酸检测来应对新冠局部暴发。当然，全国范围内还没有建立起精准的疫情防控机制。尽管不同城市可根据自身实际情况采取不同的应对策略，但科学和精准的疫情防控机制正是全国各地新冠疫情防控策略的发展方向。
主持人：天津的新冠疫情出现了很多的家庭聚集性感染，一些儿童也被感染，这意味着什么？
赵大海：虽然家庭聚集性感染在我国很多城市的局部疫情暴发当中都曾经出现过，但天津市出现如此多的家庭聚集性感染，可能反映出奥米克戎变异株的传播能力比传统的新冠病毒和前期的其他变异株更强。
主持人：中国的春节即将到来，奥米克戎变异株对春节的旅行带来怎样的风险？
赵大海：正是因为奥米克戎变异株的传播能力更强，而且奥米克戎已经在我国出现跨省传播，各级政府和公众都必须充分重视奥米克戎。假定没有特别的旅行限制，那么春节期间必定会出现巨大的全国范围内的春运人口大流动。这将必然会带来巨大的新冠暴发的风险。因此，公众非必要不旅行。即便公众在低风险区域旅行时，也必须要采取严格的预防措施，例如全面接种新冠疫苗，包括第三针加强针的疫苗。当然，只要公众严格遵守新冠疫情防控的相关政策规定，奥米克戎就不会给春节假期的疫情防控带来太大挑战。
供稿者：国务学院
日期：2022年1月15日
Dahai ZHAO’s Exclusive Interview with CGTN: Shanghai’s precise measures are worth learning around the country
Dahai Zhao, a doctoral supervisor at the School of International and Public Affairs of Shanghai Jiao Tong University and Executive Director of Shanghai Jiao Tong University-Yale University Joint Research Center for Health Policy, has been interviewed by CGYN for the 69st time (the 118st time by CGTN / ShanghaiTV) since the COVID-19 pandemic. On January 14, Zhao commented on COVID-19 prevention and control in Shanghai and Tianjin, as well as the pressure of epidemic prevention and control during the Spring Festival holiday on CGTN “China 24”.
Moderate: In Shanghai, a bubble tea shop around 20 square meter large as now listed as a medium risk area. It is that specific. But what does this tell you about china's pandemic prevention policy?
ZHAO: In terms of the so called smallest medium risk area, it reflexs that a few cities in China, such as Shanghai, have built up a scientific, precise and rapid response mechanism on coping with the outbreak of the COVID-19 under the direction of the fast response mechanism. When there is a confirmed case of COVID-19, the related organization will find the case at the first time, even though the case cannot be found at the first time, the mechanism can ensure that the infection routine and the source of the confirmed cases will be found at the very early stage of the outbreak. Therefore a few of cities in China have the full confidence and the capacity to cope with the pandemic rather than the mass testing. In addition, the precise response mechanism has not been built in the whole country, although different cities may utilize different activities to cooperate with the local outbreak of based on the city's actual conditions. The scientific and precise response mechanism must be the development direction of the whole China's pandemic policy.
Moderate: It is very precise in Shanghai’s case. But if you take a look at Tianjin, many cases in Tianjin are family clusters and a lot of cases are children. How concerning is that?
ZHAO: Although the family clusters are very common in the preventing local outbreaks of the COVID-19 in many cities in the Chinese mainland. The so many cases of the family clusters in Tianjin may reflect that the spread capacity of the Omicron is more serious than the traditional COVID virus.
Moderate: The Omicron is highly infectious. I mean what are the risks? The Omicron is posing to the spring festival travel. Our big holiday season is coming up.
ZHAO: That's because of the higher spread capacity of the Omicron, as well as the variant has been across provincial areas in China. All local governments and the public must pay full attention to the Omicron. If there were not special limits on the travelling, it would have been a a huge number of citizens who travel across all over the country during the spring festival. It will pose a huge risk of Omicron to our spring festival travel. Therefore, all citizens trying now to travel when it is not necessary. When the city is travels through the low risk areas, they must pay attention to the traditional prevention measures. Such as being fully vaccinated, including the 3rd dose of the vaccine. If the public is strictly comply with the related scientific regulation of the combined COVID-19, the Omicron will not pose a big risk to Chinese spring festival holiday.
Contributor: SIPA, SJTU
Date: January 15, 2021